Kadyrov clashes with Prigozhin; Wagner clashes with Russian military

Threatologist Eurasia: 8 June 2023

 

Threatologist Eurasia is a free weekly newsletter covering security threats -- to the state and from the state -- across Russia and Eurasia. It keeps you informed about important developments related to terrorism and insurgency, private military companies and semi-state security forces.

 

If you find this newsletter useful, please tell a friend about it! If someone has forwarded this newsletter to you, you can subscribe at Threatologist.com.

This week's main stories:

  • Kadyrov allies clash with Prigozhin
  • Friendly fire on other fronts
Kadyrov allies clash with Prigozhin

Two close allies of Chechen Head Ramzan Kadyrov have publicly clashed with Yevgeniy Prigozhin, the owner of Russian Private Military Company (PMC) Wagner.

 

The current conflict developed as a result of the latest criticisms that Prigozhin had levelled at the Russian Defence Minister Sergey Shoygu, and Chief of the General Staff Valeriy Gerasimov. On 4 May, Prigozhin published a video that criticised the Defence Ministry over arms supplies and threatened to withdraw Wagner troops. His proposal to transfer Wagner-controlled positions to Kadyrov’s security services brought criticisms from Kadyrov (see 11 May edition of Threatologist Eurasia). 

 

On 31 May, the conflict reignited when Prigozhin used his Telegram account to answer a question about whether Kadyrov’s forces could occupy the self-proclaimed Donetsk People’s Republic. Prigozhin said he did not know where the forces were located, but expressed doubt that they were sufficiently strong to liberate the entire region — or whether they had even been set the task (3).

 

In response, Adam Delimkhanov, State Duma deputy for Chechnya and a key ally of Kadyrov, recorded his own video address, in which he said: “If there’s something you don’t understand, you can get in touch anytime and name the place where we can meet you and explain whatever it is you don’t get.” He then reiterated Kadyrov’s criticisms of Prigozhin’s criticisms of the Defence Ministry. Magomed Daudov, speaker of the Chechen parliament and another Kadyrov confidant, similarly bristled: “You needn’t know, Evgeny, about our capabilities and our goals.” He similarly offered a meeting to sort things out, man to man (4). If the subtle tone of the comments is passing you by, they can be crudely summarised as follows: “Quit your bitching or we’ll see you outside.”

 

Of course, the Wagnerites could not leave such comments unanswered. Prigozhin said he didn’t know what the problem was but could easily be reached. The lesser-spotted Wagner commander Dmitriy Utkin brought caps lock to the fight, criticising the familiar tone of the Chechen addresses and opining: “Certain citizens must be put up against a wall, for the shame that they brought. PMC WAGNER HAS NEVER, DOESN’T, AND WILL NOT panic.” Of course, he said he was also ready to meet in person to discuss any issues (4).

 

Does this dispute tell us anything new? Honestly, much less than Kremlinologists would have you believe. Prigozhin and Kadyrov, as well as prominent figures in both men’s orbit, are self-interested egoists — capable of uniting when interests align, but with no loyalty to one another the moment they collide. But that’s hardly news. Still, it’s always good to see political figures behave like distinguished statesmen, and not at all like inebriated youths on a night out in Birmingham. Leave it Zhenya, he’s not worth it.

 

Prigozhin subsequently declared that he would, indeed, be leaving it, and that he had spoken to Kadyrov on the phone and agreed to “put the brakes on” the conflict (5).

Friendly fire on other fronts

This was clearly a week for verbal friendly fire, as Prigozhin also claimed that his fighters had recently been involved in clashes with the Russian military around Bakhmut (7).

 

Prigozhin alleged that the military had mined his fighters’ escape route from Bakhmut, and that Wagner fighters and Russian servicemen had subsequently exchanged fire. Although no one was hurt in the incident, which allegedly occurred on 17 May, Wagner detained a lieutenant colonel, Roman Venevitin. In a video shared by Prigozhin, Venevitin confesses to firing on Wagner “because of personal animosity.”

Other stories of interest
  • Russia’s Southern District Military Court has sentenced a Stavropol resident to 22 years in prison for pledging allegiance to the leader of the Islamic State (IS) and recruiting fellow prisoners to the group (1).
  • The court also sentenced four Crimean Tatars to between 12 and 17 years for membership of Hizb ut-Tahrir (2).
  • Kadyrov has proposed deploying Chechen security service units to Belgorod Oblast to deal with the threat posed by sabotage groups (6).
  • Security services in Ingushetia have detained two local residents on suspicion of aiding terrorists. The Counterterrorist Operation imposed in early April (see the 6 April and 13 April editions of Threatologist Eurasia) remain in place (8).
  • Sayd-Khuseyn Yamadayev has reportedly been killed fighting with Wagner in Ukraine, having been recruited from prison at the start of the year. Yamadayev was the son of Kadyrov rival and State Duma Deputy Ruslan Yamadayev, who was killed in Moscow in 2008 (9).
Source list

1. Caucasian Knot. 2023, 31 May. Николай Глазунов получил 22 года за вербовку в ИГ*. https://www.kavkaz-uzel.eu/articles/389210/.

2. Kavkaz Realii. 2023, 31 May. Суд в Ростове-на-Дону приговорил четырех крымских татар к срокам от 12 до 17 лет. https://www.kavkazr.com/a/sud-v-rostove-na-donu-prigovoril-chetyreh-krymskih-tatar-k-srokam-ot-12-do-17-let/32437336.html.

3. Caucasian Knot. 2023, 1 June. Делимханов вступил в полемику с Пригожиным. https://www.kavkaz-uzel.eu/articles/389231.

4. Meduza. 2023, 1 June. ‘Evgeny, you don’t understand’: Kadyrov-allied Chechen leaders unite in criticizing Prigozhin for ‘yelling and screaming’ about army problems. https://meduza.io/en/news/2023/06/01/evgeny-you-don-t-understand-kadyrov-allied-chechen-leaders-unite-in-criticizing-prigozhin-for-yelling-and-screaming-about-army-problems.

5. Caucasian Knot. 2023, 3 June. Пригожин объявил улаженным свой конфликт с кадыровцами. https://www.kavkaz-uzel.eu/articles/389301/.

6. Caucasian Knot. 2023, 4 June. Кадыров предложил передислоцировать чеченские подразделения в Белгородскую область. https://www.kavkaz-uzel.eu/articles/389336/.

7. Novaya Gazeta. 2023, 5 June. PMC Wagner reports exchanging fire with Russian servicemen. Prigozhin shares video with confession of imprisoned lieutenant colonel who opened fire. https://novayagazeta.eu/articles/2023/06/05/pmc-wagner-reports-exchanging-fire-with-russian-servicemen-prigozhin-shares-video-with-confession-of-imprisoned-lieutenant-colonel-who-opened-fire-en-news.

8. Caucasian Knot. 2023, 6 June. Два жителя Малгобекского района задержаны за пособничество террористам. https://www.kavkaz-uzel.eu/articles/389388/.

9. Kavkaz Realii. 2023, 5 June. В Украине убит сын Руслана Ямадаева – он завербовался в ЧВК "Вагнер" из колонии. https://www.kavkazr.com/a/v-ukraine-ubit-syn-ruslana-yamadaeva-on-zaverbovalsya-v-chvk-vagner-iz-kolonii/32445846.html.

twitter 

This newsletter and its content is copyright of Mark Youngman and Threatologist. Copyright © 2023. All rights reserved. You may not, except with our express written permission, distribute or commercially exploit the content.

Threatologist
Unsubscribe   |   Manage your subscription   |   View online